The quick proof of Bayes' theorem
A short explanation of why Bayes' theorem is true, together with discussion on a common misconception in probability
Previous Lesson
The medical test paradox: Can redesigning Bayes rule help?
Next Lesson
Binomial distributions | Probabilities of probabilities, part 1
Thanks
Special thanks to those below for supporting this lesson.
Juan Benet
Kurt Dicus
Vassili Philippov
Burt Humburg
Matt Russell
Scott Gray
soekul
Tihan Seale
D. Sivakumar
Ali Yahya
Arthur Zey
dave nicponski
Joseph Kelly
Kaustuv DeBiswas
kkm
Lambda AI Hardware
Lukas Biewald
Mark Heising
Nicholas Cahill
Peter Mcinerney
Quantopian
Scott Walter, Ph.D.
Tauba Auerbach
Yana Chernobilsky
Yu Jun
Jordan Scales
Lukas -krtek.net- Novy
Andrew Weir
Britt Selvitelle
Britton Finley
David Gow
J
Jonathan Wilson
Joseph John Cox
Magnus Dahlström
Mattéo Delabre
Randy C. Will
Ryan Atallah
Luc Ritchie
1stViewMaths
Aidan Shenkman
Alex Mijalis
Alexis Olson
Andreas Benjamin Brössel
Andrew Busey
Andrew R. Whalley
Ankalagon
Anthony Turvey
Antoine Bruguier
Antonio Juarez
Arjun Chakroborty
Art Ianuzzi
Austin Goodman
Avi Finkel
Awoo
Azeem Ansar
AZsorcerer
Barry Fam
Bernd Sing
Boris Veselinovich
Bradley Pirtle
Brian Staroselsky
Calvin Lin
Charles Southerland
Charlie N
Chris Connett
Christian Kaiser
Clark Gaebel
Danger Dai
Daniel Herrera C
Daniel Pang
Dave B
Dave Kester
David B. Hill
David Clark
Delton Ding
Dominik Wagner
eaglle
emptymachine
Eric Younge
Ero Carrera
Eryq Ouithaqueue
Federico Lebron
Fernando Via Canel
Frank R. Brown, Jr.
Giovanni Filippi
Hal Hildebrand
Hause Lin
Henry Bresnahan
Hitoshi Yamauchi
Ivan Sorokin
j eduardo perez
Jacob Baxter
Jacob Harmon
Jacob Hartmann
Jacob Magnuson
Jameel Syed
James Stevenson
Jason Hise
Jeff Linse
Jeff Straathof
John C. Vesey
John Griffith
John Haley
Johnny Hwang
John V Wertheim
Jonathan Eppele
Josh Kinnear
Joshua Claeys
Kai-Siang Ang
Kanan Gill
Kartik Cating-Subramanian
L0j1k
Lee Redden
Linh Tran
Ludwig Schubert
Magister Mugit
Mark B Bahu
Mark Mann
Martin Price
Mathias Jansson
Matt Langford
Matt Roveto
Matthew Bouchard
Matthew Cocke
Michael Faust
Michael Hardel
Michele Donadoni
Mirik Gogri
Mustafa Mahdi
Márton Vaitkus
Nero Li
Nikita Lesnikov
Omar Zrien
Owen Campbell-Moore
Patrick Lucas
Pedro Igor Salomão Budib
Peter Ehrnstrom
RedAgent14
rehmi post
Rex Godby
Richard Barthel
Ripta Pasay
Rish Kundalia
Roman Sergeychik
Roobie
Ryan Williams
Sebastian Garcia
Solara570
Steven Siddals
Stevie Metke
Suthen Thomas
Tal Einav
Ted Suzman
The Responsible One
Thomas Tarler
Tianyu Ge
Tom Fleming
Tyler VanValkenburg
Valeriy Skobelev
Veritasium
Vinicius Reis
Xuanji Li
Yavor Ivanov
YinYangBalance.Asia
Andrew Hampson
Christopher Lorton
Edward Swartz
Apurva Varma
Azman Ahmed
Ettore Randazzo
Psylence
Sean Barrett
Raphael Nitsche
Alan Stein
Alex Dodge
Alex Frieder
Alvaro Carbonero
Alvin Khaled
Andreas Nautsch
Andrew Foster
Andrew Mohn
Andy Petsch
Arkajyoti Misra
Ben Granger
blockulator
Bpendragon
Brian Sletten
Bryce D. Wilkins
Carlos Iriarte
Chandra Sripada
Chris Sachs
Christian Cooper
Christian Mercat
ConvenienceShout
Dan Davison
David H. Friedman
David House
David J Wu
Derek G Miller
Dheeraj Narasimha
Dhilung Kirat
Elliot Winkler
Eric Koslow
Eugene Foss
EurghSireAwe
Evan Miyazono
Evan Thayer
Filip Milosavljevic
Florian Ragwitz
Gokcen Eraslan
Gordon Gould
Gregory Hopper
Günther Köckerandl
Henry Reich
Hervé Guillon
Jacob Wallingford
Jaewon Jung
Jake Brownson
James D. Woolery, M.D.
James Golab
Jan Pfeifer
Jay Ebhomenye
Jayne Gabriele
Jean Peissik
Jed Yeiser
Jeremy Cole
Jimmy Campbell
Joo Donghyun
John
John Jernigan
Jon Adams
Jonathan Trousdale
Jonathan Whitmore
Jonathan Wright
Jono Forbes
Kasia Hayden
Keith Smith
Kenneth Larsen
Kevin Norris
Krishanu Sankar
Lael S Costa
Lee Burnette
Longti
Mahrlo Amposta
Manne Moquist
Manuel Garcia
Matt Parlmer
Max Anderson
Mayank M. Mehrotra
Mert Öz
Michael Kohler
Michael W White
Mike Dour
Mike Dussault
Mikko
Nate Pinsky
Nenad Vitorovic
Nican
Nick Lucas
Nikolay
Ocaubrid
otavio good
Patch Kessler
Patron Saint of Noodles
Paul Pluzhnikov
Paul Wolfgang
Peter Bryan
PeterCxy
Philipp Paraguya
Randy True
Robert Davis
Robert van der Tuuk
Roy Larson
Roy Velich
Ryan Mahuron
Sandy Wilbourn
Sebastian Braunert
Sergey Ovchinnikov
Sergey Ten
Siddhesh Vichare
sidwill
Sophie Karlin
Steve Cohen
Sundar Subbarayan
Syafiq Kamarul Azman
TD
Thomas Peter Berntsen
Tim Kazik
Tim Robinson
Tino Adams
Tobias Christiansen
Trevor Settles
Tyler Herrmann
Valentin Mayer-Eichberger
Victor Castillo
Victor Kostyuk
Victor Lee
Vitalii Kalinkin
Xierumeng
Yair kass
Zachary Elliott
zhenyu xu
噗噗兔
김승현